📉 Vendor Trend Analysis

September 2025 → October 2025 (partial) | Market Share Shift Analysis

⚠️ CRITICAL TREND: Major Market Share Shift

-15.8%

Uniteller lost 15.8 percentage points of market share from September to October, while Transnetwork gained the same amount. This represents a significant customer migration.

Market Share Evolution

September 2025
UNITELLER
50.7%
48,216 transactions | $10.2M
October 2025 (9 days)
UNITELLER
35.0%
9,244 transactions | $2.0M
↓ 15.8 percentage points
September 2025
TRANSNETWORK
49.3%
46,797 transactions | $9.2M
October 2025 (9 days)
TRANSNETWORK
65.0%
17,203 transactions | $3.5M
↑ 15.8 percentage points

Month-Over-Month Comparison

Metric September 2025 October 2025 (9 days) October Projected (30 days) Change
Uniteller Transactions 48,216 9,244 30,813 -36.1%
Uniteller Volume $10,209,689 $2,043,268 $6,810,893 -33.3%
Transnetwork Transactions 46,797 17,203 57,343 +22.5%
Transnetwork Volume $9,156,133 $3,470,068 $11,566,893 +26.3%

⚠️ Business Implications

Critical Action Required: Uniteller is experiencing a significant decline in transaction volume and market share. If this trend continues, October will show a 36% decline compared to September.

📊 Key Insights

  • Major shift underway: Uniteller went from near-parity (50.7%) in September to minority position (35%) in early October - a 15.8 point drop.
  • Transnetwork dominance: Now captures 65% of market, up from 49.3%. This represents a massive 22.5% growth in transaction volume.
  • Projected impact: If October trend holds, Uniteller will process ~17,400 fewer transactions than September (-36.1% decline).
  • Volume follows share: Dollar volume declining proportionally - Uniteller projected to lose $3.4M in monthly volume.
  • Customer migration: This isn't just market growth - customers appear to be actively switching from Uniteller to Transnetwork.
  • Prefunding implications: With declining Uniteller volume, your $500K prefunding is now overcapitalized. Reallocate capital to Transnetwork.

💡 Strategic Recommendations

  • Immediate: Reduce Uniteller prefunding from $500K to $300-350K. Redeploy $150-200K to Transnetwork.
  • Investigation: Understand root cause - pricing changes? Service quality? Corridor availability? New partnerships?
  • Monitoring: Track daily/weekly to see if trend accelerates, stabilizes, or reverses.
  • Customer impact: Ensure Transnetwork can handle increased volume without service degradation.
  • Vendor relationships: Discuss trend with both vendors - potential renegotiation opportunities.